i reckon.

yeah?

duffy as well I bet

I wonder which 'token world music' album they'll include

Calvin Harris? Or was that the year before?
Viva the shitting Vida

Brett Anderson.

get shortlisted, but they probably won't. Frightened Rabbit would be a good one too.

I imagine MIA is a good bet for the shortlist.

Maybe?

foals and british sea power will definitely be on.

Not that it matters, she'll just join the other shit on the shortlist.

Fuck Buttons haven't got a hope, they're not major label affiliated!

totes. Bet they pick both Duffy and Adele too.

If we're talking about originality and brilliance, then it should be a shoe in. Nothing else comes close this year.

1. Charlottefield - What Are Friends For
2. Aidan John Moffat - I Can Hear You Heart
3. D_Rradio - S/T
4. Last Harbour - Dead Fires And The Lonely Spark
5. Sian Alice Group - 59.59
6. The Shortwave Set - Replica Sun Machine
7. Errors - It's Not Something But It Is Like Whatever
8. The Sleeping Years - We're Becoming Islands One By One
9. The Accidental - There Were Wolves
10. Ruth Theodore - Worm Food
11. Cowtown - Pine Cone Express
12. Keyboard Choir - Mizen Head To Gascanane Sound

should be the shortlist, but it probably isn't

released?

That'll be in.

Some bullshit. And Radiohead.

if that was this year then it's a dead cert I'd say. Everyone loves that album (apart from me).

Burial Burial Burial Burial Burial Burial Burial Burial Burial Burial Burial Burial Burial Burial Burial Burial Burial Burial Burial Burial Burial Burial Burial Burial Burial

a token Reggae, Folk and Rap album of course ...

Hot Chip
Kate Nash
Radiohead?

I'd say any (or most) of the following are very likely:

Radiohead
Duffy
Portishead (why did I not think of this to start with, they're probably the most inevitable)
Burial
Foals
Robert Plant/Alison Krauss

If The Tings Tings or Kate Nash get anywhere near the award I'll weep copiously.

Johnny Flynn (as the folksie entry)

this last year's been a much better 12 month spell for British music than the 12 months previously?

Radiohead or Burial will win it IMO. They'll either give it to Radiohead for the whole shakin'-up-the-industry thing ("and that's not all they did, they also released a great record!". Or Burial for being a dubstep breakthrough (much like Boy In Da Corner was for Dizzee and grime, and that also won the MMP)

..debut might sneak onto the list and I wouldn't mind that at all..

Last Shadow Puppets
Foals
Radiohead
Elbow
*Token Jazz ft. Seb Rochford*
Burial
Frightened Rabbit
Jonquil
Santogold

Misophone
Sons Of Noel And Adrian
Adem
Chris T-T
Elbow
Jonquil
Paris Motel
Misty's Big Adventure

Although, of those, probably only Elbow have a chance of being mentioned.

If I was a small band/label, I'm not sure I'd even bother stumping up the money to be in with a chance for the Mercury Prize though. It'd be a great boost for sales obviously, but it's been ages since there's really been anything on the list I've liked.

or was that last year? Better than Cuckooland and that got nominated. Is he a bit too 'token eccentric' (see also. Antony and the Johnsons) to be up twice?

Radiohead
Duffy
Foals
Sigur Ros
Elbow
...Holy Fuck? haha.

and thoroughly deserved.
But I doubt they'll pick him because of the anonymity issue.

In Rainbows will get nominated and triumph, though I fear that the judges will go with the art school kids like last year and hand it to band such as Foals.

I reckon they're definitely in their in the slot that was filled by Bat For Lashes last year.

Litany of Echoes is so good.